Tag Archive for: Brazilian Real futures
Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, April 9/10, 2022
/by Peter BrandtThoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, April 2/3, 2022
/by Peter BrandtThoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, March 26/27, 2022
/by Peter BrandtThoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, March 19/20, 2022
/by Peter BrandtThoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, March 12/13, 2022
/by Peter BrandtThoughts on a Sunday Afternoon, April 17, 2021 (issued April 16)
/by Peter BrandtFactor Update, October 5, 2019
/by Peter BrandtDown in Latin America
/by Peter Brandt(This is an excerpt from the past weekend premium member report published last Friday morning the 27th)
Mexican Peso futures
Peso futures have been in a bear trend during my entire trading career. The decline on the long-term charts has taken the form of repeated symmetrical triangles. The weekly futures chart is coiling. There are two caveats to a short side trade: Symmetrical triangles that continue past the 70% market toward the apex should not be trusted and this is an extremely negative carry trade with each successive futures contract priced at a lower price. The G6M-066 chart shows that traders constantly long the nearby Peso contracts and rolling at expiration have a positive return since early 2017. I will monitor this market but prefer the Brazilian Real.
Brazilian Real futures
I have a greater interest in the Real than in the Peso. The weekly chart displays a massive descending triangle on the futures chart, traded in terms of the USD value of the Real (and a Cup and Handle on the spot graph, traded in terms of the number of Real per one USD). Based on CME settlement data as of Sep 26, the theoretical negative carry is approximately -300 BPs annualized.
Factor Membership
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Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:
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View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work.
Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.
I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.
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Factor Update, September 28, 2019
/by Peter BrandtRecent Posts:
So you want to be a full time trader? Good luck with that one!August 17, 2024 - 6:47 am
- A follow-up regarding my attack on the “we-fund-you” prop industryAugust 13, 2024 - 9:02 pm
Looking for success in all the wrong places. This is the description of 95% of those wanting to be full-time traders.August 6, 2024 - 11:29 am
Join The Exclusive Macro Trading Community With Factor’s Own Jonathon KingJuly 25, 2024 - 11:07 am