https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Factor-Special-Report-November-17-2016-The-January-FX-Effect.jpg534800Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-11-18 01:29:462016-11-18 01:29:46Factor Special Report, November 17, 2016 — The January FX Effect
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/yen.jpg9661450Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-11-16 18:56:192016-11-16 19:04:10Factor Alert, November 16, 2016 — Japanese 10- Yr JGB
Cotton is a member of the notorious New York "C" gang of thieves -- Cotton, Copper, Cocoa and Coffee. The NY Cs are very difficult markets to trade using classical charting principles. These markets periodically offer excellent chart signals (such as just occurred in Copper) -- but as a rule most classical patterns in the C-markets provide frustration.
There are several technical features of EUR/USD that traders should be aware of at this point in time.
Seasonality
There is an extremely strong tendency for EUR/USD to experience its annual high or low in the month of January. In fact, in 35 of the past 46 years the annual high or low occurred in Jan -- with the high or low occurring in Feb or early Mar in another four years. I believe the high or low in EUR/USD will occur in early Jan in 2017 -- and, of course, my present bias is for a high to occur.
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Long-Term-Euro-Charts-Point-to-Trouble-Ahead-Peter-brandt.jpg8881333Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2016-11-16 09:21:002016-11-16 09:23:51EUR/USD, seasonality and the ADX indicator
The decline on Friday (with the follow-through today) has completed a 9-month H&S top pattern, setting up a test of the lower boundary of a 20-month consolidation. As mentioned by the November 13, 2016 Factor Update, I view this H&S as the possible launching pad for the completion of the larger congestion area.
Factor Special Report, November 17, 2016 — The January FX Effect
/by Peter BrandtFactor Alert, November 16, 2016 — Japanese 10- Yr JGB
/by Peter BrandtFactor Alert, November 16, 2016 — Cotton
/by Peter BrandtEUR/USD, seasonality and the ADX indicator
/by Peter BrandtFactor Alert — Eurocurrency and USDX
/by Peter BrandtPeter Brandt’s Charting Tool
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