Chart Wizards – Actual Alpha Report #49 – March 11, 2024

My assumptions on markets:

• Interest Rates rule the world
• The Fed has completed its rate hike cycle; the next move is a cut
• The US labor market and spending economy are strong, but deteriorating
• Low growth + loosening monetary policy = bullish most risk assets
• Stock market ≠ the economy
• When rates start falling and unemployment starts rising, I am short