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US Stocks - Peter brandt - Factor

U.S Stocks Look Promising

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Russell 2000

U.S Stocks look promising, with the Russell 2000 appears to be leading the upward parade. The Factor is long this market as of last Wednesday. The daily chart of the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is shown below after a breakout this past week that was promising.

 

US Stocks Peter Brandt – Factor - Russell 2000

 

US Stocks Peter Brandt - Factor IWM

 

NASDAQ

A 4+ month H&S failure pattern has been completed. The upside target – if the interpretation is correct – is 7775. Factor is long the ETF (QQQ) using this past week’s low for protection.

 

US Stocks Peter Brandt – Factor - QQQ

 

 

S&Ps

The daily chart of S&P futures displays a giant 16-week symmetrical triangle. The S&P chart is much weaker than the charts of the Russell or NASDAQ. For this reason the S&Ps represent the best candidate for a short trade. The price bars on Tuesday, Wednesday and

Thursday formed a potential bearish Hikkake pattern.

[See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hikkake_pattern. Long-time friend and Factor member Dan Chesler is recognized as the father of the Hikkake pattern.] I will pay close attention to the S&Ps early next week. I will consider a short trade if a measured risk point can be identified.

 

 

US Stocks Peter Brandt – Factor - SP500

 

 

 

Factor Membership

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Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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forex

What’s in Your Wallet

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U.S. Dollar Index

The advance this past week exceeded the upside price target of 92.38 and I exited my long position. I will monitor this market for a possible continuation pattern. I believe the U.S. Dollar Index will continue to trend higher. Factor is flat.

 

Forex Factor Peter Brandt

 

Aussie Dollar

The dominant chart construction is the completed 28-month channel on the weekly chart. The general targeting rule for a channel breakdown is that prices will travel a distance equal to the width of the channel (see red parallel lines). The channel is a diagonal pattern – and thus is more difficult to trade than a horizontal pattern. The Factor Tracking Account is short AUD/USD.

 

Forex Factor Peter Brandt

 

 

USD/TRY (Turkish Lira)

The dominant chart construction is the completed 14-month Cup and Handle pattern. Factor is long. I tightened my stop late last week and fully expected to be stopped out. The protective stop survived Monday’s dip and the rally on Tuesday completed a 2-week pennant.

 

 

Forex Factor Peter Brandt

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Picking Tops and Bottoms

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ETH/USD

I want to use Ethereum to make a couple of points. If I were to add up the composite results of every trade I have made over the years that were not confirmed by a simple moving average, the figure would be negative – a big negative. By contrast, most of my large gains over the years have come from trades supported by a simple MA.

The entire advance in $ETH from early Nov 2017 through the Jan 2018 high was supported by a simple MA. Similarly, the entire decline from the late Jan 2018 high to the present has been supported by a simple MA (additionally, classical charting principles have flashed no fewer than four sell signals beginning on Feb 1).

I have no desire as a trader to pick tops and bottoms. I am very comfortable making my living between the 30-yard lines – and almost all trades between the 30-yard lines are confirmed by a simple MA. As such, the idea of considering a long position in ETH at present levels is completely foreign to me.

 

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Forex Ideas Peter Brandt

Forex Ideas

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Forex Ideas

Below are some interesting Forex ideas I’ve been tracking.

GBP/AUD — the advance on Friday completed a 14-week Cup and Handle buy signal in this forex cross. I am interested in buying a slight retest of this pattern if given the opportunity, but I will not chase the advance.   I would limit my risk on this trade to 40 basis points.

 

forex ideas peter brandt factor gbp

 

New Zealand Dollar futures

The daily chart is forming a textbook symmetrical triangle top pattern. I typically do not like trading the symmetrical triangle pattern, but in this case the lower boundary is horizontal enough that I am interested in the short side.

 

forex ideas peter brandt factor nzd

 

Mexican Peso futures

The monthly graph displays a possible 2+ year H&S bottom – the right shoulder is forming an independent inverted H&S as seen on the weekly and daily graphs. Factor is flat. I will buy a breakout of the daily chart H&S and then explore extending long leverage should the weekly H&S bottom be completed.

 

forex ideas peter brandt factor peso2

 

 

 

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Bitcoin Thaw

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Bitcoin

 

Bitcoin ($BTC) is bumping up against the neckline of an arguable H&S bottom pattern. This is the point at which prices could accelerate … or fail.  A decisive close for Bitcoin above $12,000 is required to complete this pattern – upon which a target of $22,000 would be established.  Factor is currently flat but monitoring the chart for a clue on the next $3,000-plus move.

(Note: Charts are from Friday’s close for the weekend report).

Bitcoin Fork - Peter brandt

 

 

 

Bitcoin Fork - Peter brandt

 

 

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Gold Resistance

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Gold’s massive H&S bottom continues to develop, but overhead resistance could be stiff.  The technical significance of the resistance in the 1350 to 1390 zone in Gold cannot be over- stated. This zone has contained rallies in Gold on five occasions (including the current rally), as shown on the weekly chart.

 

 

My bias is that Gold will rip through resistance to commence a new bull trend (see monthly chart).

 

Peter Brandt Gold Resistance

 

Nevertheless, I cannot ignore the possibility that Gold might turn down hard from the overhead resistance – a decline toward 1230 is possible. I will closely monitor Gold with an interest to be long – I may use the London PM Gold fix as a proxy for a breakout.

 

Peter Brandt Gold Resistance Dail

 

Peter Brandt Gold Resistance London Fix

 

 

Prior blog posts on Gold can be found here: https://www.peterlbrandt.com/2018-gold-outlook/

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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10 Yr Bond Yeilds

US 10-Yr

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U.S. 10-Yr T-Notes

 

I have commented in recent Factor updates on the completed 6+ year double top on the monthly chart.  In last week’s (Member) Update I scolded myself for not having placed orders to short a retest of this top. I was not going to make the same mistake this week and a resting sell order was filled on Tuesday’s rally.   Factor is now short.

 

 

Factor Trading - Peter Brandt - US 10yr T notes

 

 

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Asian Breakout Ideas

Asia Breakouts

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Some Asian Breakout Ideas

 

The iShares China Index Fund has completed a 10-year massive symmetrical triangle on the monthly graph. By clearing the 2015 high this ETF has an upside target of 71.74. I will buy any slight reaction in this ETF, risking to 44.77.

 

Singapore Index

The Singapore Index (futures) has completed a multi-year rectangle on the monthly graph. I consider this to be a significant bull signal supported by fundamentals. The Shiller CASE Index suggests that Singapore is one of the most undervalued markets globally. I am willing to take a shot at the long side of this market on a retest of 398.1, risking about 75 basis points.

 

 

 

Osaka Nikkei

This one published to Factor members in the past.  The target of 24,010 from the underlying 10-week ascending triangle has been met. Factor remains long a tranche with a revised target of 24,830, having taken profits on a tranche.

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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Aussie Dollar - Factor - Peter Brandt

Aussie Aussie Aussie Dollar

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There are reasons to believe the Aussie Dollar has entered a prolonged bullish trend. The period from the Jan 2016 low to present is analogous to the period from Mar 2001 through Jan 2003. An idealized drawing of this pattern – called a “Horn” by Schabacker – is shown within the box on the top chart. [See Schabacker, Study VII.]

 

Aussie Dollar - Factor - Peter Brandt

 

The chart shown below courtesy of Nautilus Capital exhibits a very strong cyclic pattern in the Aussie Dollar — and the cycles are calling for a low.

 

Australian Dollar - Factor - Peter Brandt

 

The daily chart of the Mar futures contract is also shown. Factor is currently flat and I have no desire to chase this current rally.  But I will monitor the Australian Dollar chart for a measured-risk buying opportunity.

Australian Dollar - Factor - Peter Brandt

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

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2018 Gold Outlook

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2018 Gold Outlook

I believe there is a good chance that the precious metals will be an outstanding asset class in 2018 – Gold could outperform Bitcoin in the year ahead. The monthly Gold chart is shown to provide some historic perspective. Notice that the market is still finding its footing after the 2012 violation of its parabolic advance.

 

2018 Gold Outlook - Factor Trading - Peter Brandt

The weekly chart (RealRange) displays a possible massive inverted H&S pattern.  I am keenly interested in the long side of 2018 Gold futures. Factor is presently flat.
2018 Gold Outlook - Factor Trading - Peter Brandt

A chart courtesy of McClellan Financial indicates that Gold is advancing from 8-year cycle lows.

 

2018 Gold Cycles

Source: http://www.mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/golds_8-year_cycle/

 

Also shown are a number of graphs for Gold-related ETFs and gold mining companies.

 

 

Factor Membership

.

Peter Brandt is a 40+ year veteran of trading. Through his Factor Service, members receive:

checkTrading Commodity Futures with Classical Chart Patterns: A free PDF copy of Peter’s classic out-of-print book
checkWeekend Update: 10-16 pages full of in-depth chart analysis and charting commentary
checkAlerts: Detailed information on specific charts as unique opportunities present themselves
checkMarket Commentaries: Communications on specific topics regarding market speculation and trading distributed periodically
checkWebinars: Monthly member-only webinars where Peter speaks about current conditions and fields member questions
checkKnowledge Center: Fast and easy access to current and archived content from Peter’s extensive library of content
checkAutomatic notifications: Email and social media notifications are sent out when new content is published

.

View your Factor Member options here. You could consider your membership in the Factor Service as just one more trade. If the Factor Service is not of value to you, well, it is just one more trade that did not work. Through the Factor Service I endeavor to alert novice and aspiring traders to the many pitfalls you will face – and to offer advice on overcoming those pitfalls. My goal is to shoot straight on what trading is all about. For more information watch my 30 minute webinar where we cover the Factor service in depth.

I hope you will consider joining the Factor community.

Factor Trading - An Introduction

.

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