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Factor Special Report, November 17, 2016 — The January FX Effect

November 18, 2016/by Peter Brandt

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Factor Alert, November 16, 2016 — Japanese 10- Yr JGB

November 16, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Factor Alert, November 16, 2016 — Cotton

November 16, 2016/by Peter Brandt

Cotton is a member of the notorious New York "C" gang of thieves -- Cotton, Copper, Cocoa and Coffee. The NY Cs are very difficult markets to trade using classical charting principles. These markets periodically offer excellent chart signals (such as just occurred in Copper) -- but as a rule most classical patterns in the C-markets provide frustration.

EUR/USD, seasonality and the ADX indicator

November 16, 2016/by Peter Brandt

There are several technical features of EUR/USD that traders should be aware of at this point in time.

Seasonality

There is an extremely strong tendency for EUR/USD to experience its annual high or low in the month of January. In fact, in 35 of the past 46 years the annual high or low occurred in Jan -- with the high or low occurring in Feb or early Mar in another four years. I believe the high or low in EUR/USD will occur in early Jan in 2017 -- and, of course, my present bias is for a high to occur.

Factor Alert — Eurocurrency and USDX

November 14, 2016/by Peter Brandt

EUR/USD

The decline on Friday (with the follow-through today) has completed a 9-month H&S top pattern, setting up a test of the lower boundary of a 20-month consolidation. As mentioned by the November 13, 2016 Factor Update, I view this H&S as the possible launching pad for the completion of the larger congestion area.