The MSCI Index appears to be rolling over in a right shoulder of a significant top pattern. One must be blind not to notice the similarities between this potential top and the chart top completed in 2008. Also, notice how the right shoulder held at the 6+ year trendline. The completion of the H&S top would also violate the trendline. A completion of this top could lead to a decline toward 1400.
But I am NOT a doomsayer. In U.S. stocks I am NOT a bear and I am NOT a bull. In fact, I believe the S&Ps will remain in a range of 10% above the recent high to 10% below the recent low for the next five to eight years.
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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/msci-world-1.jpg505899Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-12-14 08:37:352016-01-28 14:51:31The Chart of the Month — MSCI World Index building a top??
Charts indicate that the USD/CHF could trade at 1.1200 and perhaps as high as 1.2350.
Swiss National Bank is intent upon driving the Franc lower (i.e., USD/CHF higher)
Note: This report represents the type of analysis routinely provided to members of the Factor Service. Members of the Factor Service have been advised for three weeks to be long USD/CHF. For information on the Factor Service, click "Subscription" on the upper menu bar. The membership rate for new members to the Factor Service will be increased by $100 per year beginning January 1.
When analyzing the charts of a commodity, stock or foreign exchange pair, it is always best to start with a long-term view and work towards the shorter-term.
The 100-year chart of USD/CHF shows that the USD is extremely cheap in historical relationship with the CHF, as shown below. Market observers who believe the USD/CHF cross is overheated do not have a clue. The clueless bunch were screaming "overbought" on USD/JPY back in Jan 2013 when the cross was under 90 to 1, on its way to 123 to 1.
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https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/swiss-currency.jpg453899Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-11-17 11:15:322016-01-28 14:52:07A chart analysis of the Swiss Franc
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/live-cattle.jpg701899Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-09-16 13:15:132016-01-28 14:52:30Live Cattle charts confirm a major top
Seven month symmetrical triangle has been confirmed
Decline on August 25 triggerd an 8-week H&S failure
In recent weeks I have presented to members of the Factor Service the possibility that why The Silver chart is a textbook example of the veracity of classical charting principles. Some of the features on the weekly graph include:
The blow-off top in April 2011 accompanied by record blow-of volume
The rising wedge retest of the top completed in September 2011
The continuation H&S pattern completed in April 2013
The descending triangle completed in September 2014
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/silver.jpg595899Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-08-26 15:48:182016-01-28 14:52:54The bearish case in Silver is back on the table
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg00Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-08-21 13:26:332016-01-28 13:35:09A preview of the August 23 Factor Update — S&Ps
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpg00Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2015-08-20 15:17:112016-01-28 13:35:09Afraid to short S&Ps because it is oversold?????
The Chart of the Month — MSCI World Index building a top??
/by Peter BrandtMSCI World Index forming a massive 2-year H&S top
The MSCI Index appears to be rolling over in a right shoulder of a significant top pattern. One must be blind not to notice the similarities between this potential top and the chart top completed in 2008. Also, notice how the right shoulder held at the 6+ year trendline. The completion of the H&S top would also violate the trendline. A completion of this top could lead to a decline toward 1400. But I am NOT a doomsayer. In U.S. stocks I am NOT a bear and I am NOT a bull. In fact, I believe the S&Ps will remain in a range of 10% above the recent high to 10% below the recent low for the next five to eight years. Read MoreA chart analysis of the Swiss Franc
/by Peter BrandtCharts indicate that the USD/CHF could trade at 1.1200 and perhaps as high as 1.2350.
Swiss National Bank is intent upon driving the Franc lower (i.e., USD/CHF higher)
Note: This report represents the type of analysis routinely provided to members of the Factor Service. Members of the Factor Service have been advised for three weeks to be long USD/CHF. For information on the Factor Service, click "Subscription" on the upper menu bar. The membership rate for new members to the Factor Service will be increased by $100 per year beginning January 1.
When analyzing the charts of a commodity, stock or foreign exchange pair, it is always best to start with a long-term view and work towards the shorter-term. The 100-year chart of USD/CHF shows that the USD is extremely cheap in historical relationship with the CHF, as shown below. Market observers who believe the USD/CHF cross is overheated do not have a clue. The clueless bunch were screaming "overbought" on USD/JPY back in Jan 2013 when the cross was under 90 to 1, on its way to 123 to 1. Read MoreLive Cattle charts confirm a major top
/by Peter BrandtA major top has been confirmed on the Live Cattle price graphs, projecting significantly lower prices.
The bearish case in Silver is back on the table
/by Peter BrandtSeven month symmetrical triangle has been confirmed
Decline on August 25 triggerd an 8-week H&S failure
In recent weeks I have presented to members of the Factor Service the possibility that why The Silver chart is a textbook example of the veracity of classical charting principles. Some of the features on the weekly graph include:A preview of the August 23 Factor Update — S&Ps
/by Peter BrandtAfraid to short S&Ps because it is oversold?????
/by Peter Brandt