Some Industrials are acting soft here. For Copper, a decisive decline below 264 would complete a H&S failure pattern with a target of 235. I believe that the decline on Friday was a Wyckoff Sign of Weakness day – and Friday’s high should not be penetrated. I am willing to short Copper if the market provides a measured-risk opportunity.
Getting stopped out of a trade only to have it work
I receive many inquiries from Factor Members on the subject of getting stopped out of a trade only to have it turn around immediately and work. This has happened to me hundreds of times over the years. Does it bother me?
NO!
It once did – but I matured as a trader. Getting Stopped out of a trade only to have it work is the price to pay for protecting trading capital. It comes with the territory. It is the cost of being a
good risk manager. I put getting stopped into the following perspective:
• The overwhelming proportion of my net profits as a career trader have come from trades that never experienced
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Discipline-2.jpg9621444Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2018-11-05 10:58:142018-11-05 10:58:14Being Wrong or Getting Stopped out of a Trade is Fine
The German DAX has completed a H&S top with a down slanted neckline on the weekly chart. H&S tops with down slanted necklines are generally more reliable and powerful than H&S tops with an up slanted neckline.
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/world-stock-markets-turning-over.jpg7701333Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2018-10-22 09:43:122018-10-22 09:44:27World Stock Markets Are Turning Over
Two chart observations are worthy of note. First, the advance this past week in yields completed a 4+ year H&S bottom on the weekly chart with targets of 4.37% and 5.03%. Second, the advance this past week also penetrated the upper boundary of a multi-decade channel. It is my belief that an Interest Rate Generational Low has been confirmed in yields.
I know my sweet spot. Every trader should strive to know his or her sweet spot.
We should strive to only take a trade when the market set up is in our sweet spot.
We should strive to avoid trades out of our sweet spot.
Crude Oil is on the Rise. The advance on Monday confirmed the symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The target is 78.40. The Factor Tracking Account is long the Nov mini WTI contract.
https://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Factor.jpg8521233Peter Brandthttps://www.peterlbrandt.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/TheFactorReport-small-logo.jpgPeter Brandt2018-10-01 08:57:002018-10-08 07:25:15Crude Oil on the Rise
All Fired Up
/by Peter BrandtThis will be on the 2018 Best Dressed List. The daily continuation graph fro Natural Gas displays a possible half-mast coil with a target of 6.1xx.
Industrials Softening
/by Peter BrandtSome Industrials are acting soft here. For Copper, a decisive decline below 264 would complete a H&S failure pattern with a target of 235. I believe that the decline on Friday was a Wyckoff Sign of Weakness day – and Friday’s high should not be penetrated. I am willing to short Copper if the market provides a measured-risk opportunity.
Being Wrong or Getting Stopped out of a Trade is Fine
/by Peter BrandtGetting stopped out of a trade only to have it work
I receive many inquiries from Factor Members on the subject of getting stopped out of a trade only to have it turn around immediately and work. This has happened to me hundreds of times over the years. Does it bother me?
NO!
It once did – but I matured as a trader. Getting Stopped out of a trade only to have it work is the price to pay for protecting trading capital. It comes with the territory. It is the cost of being a
good risk manager. I put getting stopped into the following perspective:
• The overwhelming proportion of my net profits as a career trader have come from trades that never experienced
World Stock Markets Are Turning Over
/by Peter BrandtDAX
The German DAX has completed a H&S top with a down slanted neckline on the weekly chart. H&S tops with down slanted necklines are generally more reliable and powerful than H&S tops with an up slanted neckline.
An Interest Rate Generational Low
/by Peter BrandtA Generational Low?
Two chart observations are worthy of note. First, the advance this past week in yields completed a 4+ year H&S bottom on the weekly chart with targets of 4.37% and 5.03%. Second, the advance this past week also penetrated the upper boundary of a multi-decade channel. It is my belief that an Interest Rate Generational Low has been confirmed in yields.
I know my sweet spot. Every trader should strive to know his or her sweet spot.
We should strive to only take a trade when the market set up is in our sweet spot.
We should strive to avoid trades out of our sweet spot.
Crude Oil on the Rise
/by Peter BrandtWTI
Crude Oil is on the Rise. The advance on Monday confirmed the symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The target is 78.40. The Factor Tracking Account is long the Nov mini WTI contract.