Entries by Peter Brandt

Significant Factor Alert – Sep 20th

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This has been a remarkable week in the markets I have been following and featuring in Factor Updates and Alerts. I have established four different positions this week -- and it is only Tuesday -- so I figure an Alert is appropriate.
Cotton -- the rally today completed the inverted 6-week H&S pattern that has served as the retest of the underlying 2-year double bottom. I initially had a stop order in place, changed it to an alert early today, then bit the bullet and bought the market almost an hour after my alert flashed. I believe the market is now poised to trend to the initial target of 78.48 with the low 90s a possibility.

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Is it a massive Natural Gas Head & Shoulders bottom?

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Is it a massive Natural Gas Head & Shoulders bottom?

I last covered the Natural Gas market within the public blog back on June 20th, with the post "Natural Gas Rising".  Natural Gas posted a 21-year price low in Mar 2016 and the bottom took the form of a 7-month Natural Gas Head & Shoulders bottom on the daily and weekly charts. The target of this H&S at 2.934 was quickly met on Jun 29. The Factor participated in this H&S pattern in its proprietary account and discussed the pattern within the Factor member Updates (See here for details on the Factor Service).

 

Natural Gas Head & Shoulders - Monthly chart - Factor Trading

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Natural Gas — A massive H&S bottom?

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Natural Gas posted a 21-year price low in Mar 2016, as shown below on the quarterly graph.

1The bottom took the form of a 7-month H&S bottom on the daily and weekly charts. The target of this H&S at 2.934 was quickly met on Jun 29. The Factor participated in this H&S pattern in its proprietary account and discussed the pattern in the Factor Update.

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Soybean Oil Next In Line

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Soybean Oil Next In Line

There is some analog history for a bull trend in Soybean Oil to follow a bull market in Soybean Meal by six to 12 months. I would define the Apr-Jun 2016 advance in Meal to be a bull market. The H&S forming on the weekly Soybean Oil graph is my current favorite developing pattern.

Factor is long Soybean Oil with a decided interest to extend leverage. This market has the potential to be a 1000 basis point trade.

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