The Apple (AAPL) is falling from the tree

 

Targets are 522, then 430

Several chart developments are worthy of note.

The monthly chart shows the 103-fold price increase from the early 2000s lows to the 2012 high. Such an advance goes a very long way to discount completely the bullish future of Apple ($AAPL). The advance during 2012 can be accurately described as a blow-off top.

The weekly chart displays the dominant bull trendline connecting the 2009, 2010 and 2011 lows. This trendline will likely be the level to which the AAPL price will return.

 

Finally, the daily  graph displays a near-textbook H&S top completed on Oct. 8. Also note that the market has sliced through the intermediate trendline connecting the late 2011 and May 2012 lows. It is not unusual for an historic bull trend to end with a brief topping pattern.

The targets for $AAPL are the May 2012 low at 522 and the major trendline around 430. The stock is oversold near term. A rally toward 655 is possible.  This analysis becomes null and void if $AAPL closes above 675.

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The information in this blog post represents my own opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the Blog, please see my Disclaimer page for my full disclaimer.

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